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trade • Nov 11, 2026
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The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded Omanโ€™s economic growth forecast for the third time in 2026, raising its real GDP growth projection to 4.5%, up from 4.1% in October, 3.7% in June and 3.5% in April. This successive upward revision reflects growing confidence in Omanโ€™s economic resilience, supported by stronger hydrocarbon production, sustained non-oil sector activity, robust logistics operations and prudent economic policies. Omanโ€™s economy expanded by 3.8% during the first half of 2026, demonstrating its ability to maintain momentum despite challenging regional conditions. The IMF also expects the countryโ€™s fiscal and external positions to remain strong, with a projected fiscal surplus averaging around 5.3% of GDP during 2026โ€“27. The Fund has emphasised the importance of continuing structural reforms, strengthening fiscal sustainability, encouraging private-sector participation and accelerating economic diversification. This positive assessment reinforces Omanโ€™s growing economic resilience and the importance of sustaining the reform agenda under Oman Vision 2040.

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